NFL MVP futures are a popular market to bet or trade on at sportsbooks and prediction markets. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is the betting favorite to win the award at Polymarket.
The top-10 favorites are all quarterbacks. The last time a non-QB won the award? That was Vikings RB Adrian Peterson back in 2012.
NFL MVP Odds at Polymarket
| Player | Polymarket Odds | American Odds |
| Josh Allen | 20% | +400 |
| Caleb Williams | 17% | +488 |
| Lamar Jackson | 14% | +614 |
| Joe Burrow | 9% | +1011 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 9% | +1011 |
| Brock Purdy | 6% | +1567 |
| Jaxson Dart | 6% | +1567 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 6% | +1567 |
| Drake Maye | 5% | +1900 |
| Jordan Love | 5% | +1900 |
Top Contenders to Win NFL MVP
These players have the best chance to be named NFL MVP based on Polymarket’s current pricing.
Josh Allen
Allen, 30, is in the prime of his career. He led all NFL quarterbacks with 14 rushing TDs last season. Buffalo’s fortunes revolve around the dual-threat QB, who often operates as a one-man show.
Allen got off to a quick start this season in leading the Bills to a 36-31 win over the Texans. He threw for 334 yards and two TDs, and also rushed for a pair of scores.
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams, a former Heisman Trophy winner at USC, is coming into his own now as a top-tier NFL quarterback after leading the Bears to an NFC North title last season.
Williams lit up the scoreboard in Chicago’s season-opening win over Carolina, a 59-37 victory that became the highest-scoring Week 1 game in NFL history. He threw for 269 yards and a pair of TDs. Like Allen, Williams also used his legs to generate two more touchdowns.
Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson is coming off an injury-riddled season last year, but his performance in Week 1 portends great things moving forward. He threw for 324 yards and a touchdown, and rushed for 40 yards and an additional score.
The Ravens are among the top Super Bowl contenders this season. If they do win it all, Jackson will be a major factor in that achievement.
Joe Burrow
Here’s another AFC North signal caller coming off an injury-plagued season in 2025. Joe Burrow suffered a turf toe injury, but is back and fully healthy this season.
Burrow has one of the league’s best wide receiver tandems to throw to in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. If he stays healthy, expect Burrow to replicate his 2024 numbers. He led all quarterbacks with 4,918 passing yards and 43 passing TDs.
Trevor Lawrence
Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence enjoyed his finest season as a pro last year, throwing for 4,007 yards and 29 TDs. The Jaguars won the AFC South with a 13-4 record.
Lawrence helped the Jags steamroll the Browns, 34-10, in Week 1. The former Clemson star threw for 245 yards and four TDs in the season-opening rout.
Most Recent NFL MVP Winners & Preseason Odds
Here are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, along with their preseason odds via Sports Odds History.
| Player | Preseason Odds |
| Matthew Stafford | +3500 |
| Josh Allen | +850 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1400 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1100 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson | +4000 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +3525 |
| Tom Brady | +325 |
| Matt Ryan | +7500 |
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