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CFTC warns prediction markets over manipulation risks in ‘mention’ contracts

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has warned prediction market operators that event contracts tied to an individual’s words or actions carry a heightened risk of manipulation. The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight issued the advisory on Tuesday, covering “mention market” contract

September 23, 2026 2 min read
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has warned prediction market operators that event contracts tied to an individual’s words or actions carry a heightened risk of manipulation. The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight issued the advisory on Tuesday, covering “mention market” contracts that settle based on whether a person says certain words, attends or appears at an event, or...
news feedPrediction marketsU.S. COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSIONMENTION MARKETS